China has stopped
taking the world's plastic waste.
Since the 1950s, when the
world was first introduced to the flexible, durable wonder of plastic, 8.3
billion metric tons of it has been produced. Plastic doesn’t biodegrade, so
technically, all of that tonnage is still sitting someplace on the planet. And
a lot of it is in China.
That’s because when hundreds of countries around the world said
they were “recycling” their plastic over the past few decades, half the time
what they really meant was they were exporting it to another country. And most
of the time, that meant they were exporting it to China. Since 1992, China (and
Hong Kong, which acts as an entry port into mainland China) have imported 72%
of all plastic waste.
But China has had enough. In 2017, China announced it was
permanently banning the import of nonindustrial plastic waste. According to a
paper published Wednesday (June 20) in the journal Science Advances, that will leave the
world—mostly high-income countries—with an additional 111 million metric tons
of plastic to deal with by 2030. And right now, those countries have no good
way to handle it.
As of 2016, the top five countries exporting their plastic to
China were the US, the UK, Mexico, Japan, and Germany.
For example, that year, the US exported 56% of its plastic waste
to China, with another 32% going to Hong Kong (of which most is then exported
to China). The US exported its remaining 12% to Mexico, Canada, and India.
Germany, meanwhile, exports 69% of its plastic to China.
But because flows of plastic are convoluted, it’s possible these
numbers don’t tell the whole story. For example, the researchers note that the
UK exports 51% of its plastic to Germany, but given how much plastic Germany
exports to China, it’s seems plausible that much of the UK’s plastic ultimately
ends up in China. The same goes for Mexico, which exports 55% of its plastic to
the US. The US, in turn, exports most of its plastic to China. But the
researchers write the United Nations trade data on which they based their
research does not monitor flows of plastic between countries, so “we do not
know whether that waste is then processed domestically or exported to Hong Kong
or China,” they write.
China has in the past tried to limit plastic imports. In 2013,
the country implemented a “Green Fence” policy of restricting the types of
plastic waste it would accept, with the goal of reducing contamination. The
policy lasted only a year, but it was enough to rattle the waste industry. “As
a result, plastic recycling industries experienced a globally cascading effect
since little infrastructure exists elsewhere to manage the rejected waste,” the
researchers write.
That’s already happening again, and now the ban is permanent.
The rule went into effect on January 1, 2018, and plastic
immediately began piling up in several European countries, the port of Hong
Kong, and the US. “My inventory is out of control,” Steve Frank, who owns
recycling plants in Oregon, which up until then had exported most of its
materials to China, told the New York
Times at the time. He hoped he’d be able to start exporting
more waste to countries like Indonesia, India, Vietnam, Malaysia—“anywhere we
can”—but “they can’t make up the difference,” he said.
At the end of the day, even the 111 million metric tons of
plastic that the researchers found would be back in the laps of countries who
used to export to China is still a fraction of all the plastic that gets
produced.
“We know
from our
previous studies that only 9%
of all plastic ever produced has been recycled, and the majority of it ends up
in landfills or the natural environment,” Jenna Jambeck, an associate professor
at the University of Georgia’s college of engineering who co-authored the
study, said in a statement. “Without bold new ideas and system-wide changes, even the
relatively low current recycling rates will no longer be met, and our
previously recycled materials could now end up in landfills.”
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