Britain to Ban New Diesel and Gas Cars by 2040
LONDON
— Scrambling to combat a growing air pollution crisis, Britainannounced on Wednesday that sales of new diesel
and gas cars would reach the end of the road by 2040, the latest step in
Europe’s battle against the damaging environmental impact of the internal
combustion engine.
Britain’s
plans match a
similar pledge made
this month by France, and are part of a growing global push to curb emissions
and fight climate change by promoting electric cars. Carmakers are also
adjusting, with Volvo notably saying recently that it would phase
out the internal combustion engine in the coming years
and BMW deciding to build an electric version of its popular Mini
car in Britain.
But
the shift to electric vehicles will be a gradual one, and the target set by
Britain is less ambitious than some of the efforts elsewhere. President Trump’s
decision to withdraw
the United States from
the Paris climate accord has also dented optimism.
Britain’s
new clean air strategy, published
on Wednesday, calls
for sales of new gas and diesel cars and vans to end by 2040. The government
will also make 255 million pounds, or $332 million, available for local
governments to take short-term action, such as retrofitting buses, to reduce
air pollution.
“It
is important that we all gear up for a significant change which deals not just
with the problems to health caused by emissions, but the broader problems
caused in terms of accelerating climate change,” Michael Gove, the country’s
environment secretary, told the BBC
Chris
Grayling, the transport secretary, promised a “green revolution in transport,”
adding that the government wanted nearly every car and van on Britain’s roads
to have zero emissions by 2050.
The
strategy document was published after a protracted legal battle in which
ministers were ordered by the courts to produce new plans to tackle illegal
levels of nitrogen dioxide.
In
France, the promise to end sales of traditional cars was made as part of a
renewed commitment to the Paris accord.
In
Britain, which is also committed to the Paris treaty, the measures have
particular political significance because of rising concern over the level of
air pollution, particularly in large cities like London. Poor
air quality, much
of it a result of pollution from vehicles, is estimated to cause between 23,000
and 40,000
deaths nationwide
every year.
Frederik
Dahlmann, assistant professor of global energy at Warwick Business School, described
Wednesday’s announcement as “an important step” that set a clear long-term
target, and “also gives car buyers an incentive to consider the different types
of engine options available in light of the long-term development of the
market.”
Still,
he said, the long-term nature of the announcement left a significant question
hanging: “How does the government intend to improve air quality and reduce
transport related emissions in the short term?”
Critics,
including Ed Miliband, a former leader of the opposition Labour Party and an
ex-environment secretary, argued that the government was failing to tackle the
current pollution crisis.
Another
former environment secretary, Ed Davey of the centrist Liberal Democrats,
described the government’s failure to commit to a plan to compensate diesel car
owners who scrap or retrofit highly polluting vehicles as a “shameful
betrayal.”
Others
also say the country’s efforts are not aggressive enough — France has also set
2040 as its target, but Norway intends to sell only electric cars from 2025,
and India wants to do so by 2030.
Cars
typically have a life span of around 15 years, so even if Britain follows
through with its target, conventional engines are likely to be on the country’s
roads more than a decade later.
Britain’s
decision is, however, the latest indication of how swiftly governments and the
public in Europe have turned against diesel and internal combustion engines in
general.
Automakers,
though reluctant to abandon technologies that have served them well for more
than a century, are increasingly resigned to the demise of engines that run on
fossil fuels. They are investing heavily in battery-powered cars as they
realize their traditional business is threatened by Tesla or emerging Chinese
companies, which have a lead in electric car technology.
The
shift away from internal combustion engines is in large part a result of
growing awareness of the health hazards of diesel.
Cities
like Madrid, Munich and Stuttgart are considering diesel bans. Sales of diesel
cars are plunging. Political leaders are under pressure to end the de facto
subsidies of diesel fuel that prevail in Europe.
European
countries kept taxes on diesel lower than on gasoline in the belief that it was
kinder to the planet. Diesel engines do spew less carbon dioxide, a cause of
global warming, than gasoline engines. But they produce more nitrogen oxides, a
family of gases that cause asthma and are responsible for the smog that
sometimes blankets London and other major cities.
Rather
than encourage a shift back to gasoline cars, governments and automakers are
focusing increasingly on electric cars. They are the only vehicles that emit
neither nitrogen oxides like diesel nor large amounts of carbon dioxide like
gasoline.
But
the impending shift has raised doubts about whether countries like Britain will
be able to create the infrastructure, and generate the electricity, needed for
such a radical change in the way people travel.
Jack
Cousens, a spokesman for Britain’s largest motoring organization, the AA, said
there would need to be “significant investment in order to install charging
points across the country, especially fast-charge points,” and added that it
was questionable whether the electricity grid “could cope with a mass switch-on
after the evening rush hour.”
Following France’s
announcement a few weeks ago that it was banning the sale of new gas- and
diesel-powered cars starting in 2040, the internal-combustion engine took
another smack today when the U.K. government followed suit, announcing that it
too plans to ban new gas and diesel cars starting that year and remove them
from roads completely by 2050.
Whoa! What’s the
rationale? In statements, the French and U.K. governments figure they’re just
confirming trends: That EV development
is already well underway, that by 2040 batteries are going to be far cheaper
than today’s and that EV development will be far ahead of where it is today.
It’s all too early to
call, of course, and a gazillion factors to consider -- the world’s two elephants
in the car market, China and the U.S., for example: What are their plans? China
already has big-time EV incentives. The country occasionally even makes noise
about a ban on gas-powered vehicles. It’s stopped short so far. One reason
could well be that even with the government goosing the market, EVs are still
less than 1 percent of the national fleet.
Over here, meanwhile,
gasoline is still really cheap, putting a serious hurt on an EV’s appeal. And
don’t forget our $7,500 federal tax credit for the first 200,000 electric or
plug-in hybrids sold. It’s anyone’s guess how far EV sales would plummet if
those went away.
For its part, Volvo said earlier
this month that every car it sells will be electrified by 2019. The
company also said it’s launching five EVs between 2019 and 2021 and it plans to
have sold a million electrified cars by 2025. And part of the U.K.’s
announcement was that a Mini EV is
going into production in 2019 using a BMW-manufactured
electric powertrain.
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